By Yusra Sarkar
As tomorrow’s UK election looms, current polls suggest that the margin between the two leading parties, Labour and the Conservatives, has narrowed considerably. As recently as two weeks ago the UK’s YouGov poll predicted that Boris Johnson’s party could win a majority by as much as 68 seats, a Tuesday night poll suggested that the Labour party had narrowed the gap, and the Conservative majority could translate to as few as 28 seats. The polls – which always have a margin of error – suggest the elections could result in anything from a hung parliament to a significant Tory majority.
The Liberal Democrats, too, could be a potential source of surprise: might they do better than predicted, picking up more seats in parliament, and if so, will these be won from Conservative or Labour?
As the week before an election goes, it’s been eventful: on Wednesday morning one of Boris Johnson’s aides swore on live television when the Prime Minister was approached for an interview. For his part, Jeremy Corbyn suffered when a tape of one of his own ministers citing Labour’s chances as ‘dire’ was leaked. The day before elections, polls are considered so close that both Labour and Conservative parties will be hoping that their leaders won’t make any last-minute gaffes today that could affect voter opinion before polling opens on Thursday.
Polls can be notoriously unpredictable, and the methodology behind calculating outcomes is so sophisticated that the UK (and it’s politicians) are likely taking any predictions with a pinch of salt. So potentially, while the Conservatives and Boris Johnson currently look set to win, anything could change, and some unexpected results might not be wholly surprising.
As the country prepares to head to the polls, there’s only one thing any politician can agree on: every vote will count.
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